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Trade ideas for GBPUSD, XAGUSD, and EURUSD are available today. The ideas expire on 21 February 2026 at midnight (GMT +3).

GBPUSD trade idea

The GBPUSD pair remains in oversold territory, while a reversal candlestick has formed, indicating a potential short-term upward correction. A technical rebound is possible in the near term; however, the overall trend remains bearish, limiting the upside potential. The preferred strategy is to sell on corrective rallies with a tight stop-loss, expecting the downtrend to resume. The GBPUSD trade idea for today suggests placing a pending Sell Limit order.

Market sentiment for GBPUSD shows a slight bullish bias at 55% versus 45%. The risk-to-reward ratio exceeds 1:4. The potential profit is 131 pips at the first take-profit level and 195 pips at the second, while possible losses are limited to 46 pips.

Trading plan

• Entry point: 1.3540
• Target 1: 1.3409
• Target 2: 1.3345
• Stop-Loss: 1.3586

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XAGUSD trade idea

The XAGUSD price action signals the formation of a local top, which worsens short-term sentiment and increases the likelihood of a bearish correction. The baseline scenario suggests selling on price increases. At the same time, signals from the hourly timeframe indicate the possibility of an additional short-term rise before the downward movement resumes. The key resistance level is located near 82.10, where selling pressure may intensify. The XAGUSD trade idea for today suggests placing a pending Sell Limit order.

For XAGUSD, negative expectations prevail at 51% versus 49%. The risk-to-reward ratio exceeds 1:4. The potential profit is 11,460 pips at the first take-profit level and 18,050 pips at the second, with possible losses limited to 4,300 pips.

Trading plan

• Entry point: 82.10
• Target 1: 70.64
• Target 2: 64.05
• Stop-Loss: 86.40

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EURUSD trade idea

The medium-term trend in EURUSD remains bearish, confirming the priority of the downward scenario. At the same time, the short-term RSI continues to rise, indicating the potential for further corrective growth. Selling at current levels appears inefficient in terms of risk-to-reward ratio. The optimal strategy is to open short positions on price increases. The nearest significant resistance level is located at 1.1795. The EURUSD trade idea for today suggests placing a pending Sell Limit order.

The news background for EURUSD shows a dominance of bearish expectations at 63% versus 37%. The risk-to-reward ratio exceeds 1:5. The potential profit is 60 pips at the first take-profit level and 75 pips at the second, with possible losses capped at 15 pips.

Trading plan

• Entry point: 1.1795
• Target 1: 1.1735
• Target 2: 1.1720
• Stop-Loss: 1.1810

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As the GBP/JPY chart shows, the pound has dropped below the 12 February low against the Japanese yen, marking its weakest level since the beginning of 2026.

Trade ideas for XAGUSD, EURUSD, and GBPJPY are available today. The ideas expire on 14 February 2026 at midnight (GMT +3).

XAGUSD trade idea

A potential local bottom is forming on the XAGUSD chart. A bullish correction is expected to develop within the current impulse. However, the preferred strategy remains selling on price growth as quotes approach the key resistance level at 84.45. The XAGUSD trade idea for today suggests placing a pending Sell Limit order.

Market sentiment for XAGUSD shows a bearish bias – 54% versus 46%. The risk-to-reward ratio exceeds 1:4. The potential profit is 14,040 pips at the first take-profit level and 20,400 pips at the second, while possible losses are limited to 4,910 pips.

Trading plan

• Entry point: 84.45
• Target 1: 70.41
• Target 2: 64.05
• Stop-Loss: 89.36

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EURUSD trade idea

The medium-term momentum remains bearish on the EURUSD chart. Any rallies are likely to face resistance near yesterday’s high. At current price levels, the risk-to-reward ratio for an open short position appears unattractive, so the preferred strategy is to sell on pullbacks towards the key resistance level at 1.1875. The EURUSD trade idea for today suggests placing a pending Sell Limit order.

The news background for EURUSD indicates a dominance of bullish expectations at 59% versus 41%. The risk-to-reward ratio exceeds 1:5. The potential profit is 120 pips at the first take-profit level and 150 pips at the second, with possible losses limited to 30 pips.

Trading plan

• Entry point: 1.1875
• Target 1: 1.1755
• Target 2: 1.1725
• Stop-Loss: 1.1905

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GBPJPY trade idea

On the GBPJPY chart, the medium-term momentum remains bearish. In the short term, the RSI indicator is moving upwards, signalling a bullish correction. At current levels, the risk-to-reward ratio for selling is unfavourable, so the preferred strategy is to sell on pullbacks towards the key resistance level at 209.75. The GBPJPY trade idea for today suggests placing a pending Sell Limit order.

For GBPJPY, bullish expectations dominate at 57% versus 43%. The risk-to-reward ratio stands at 1:5. The potential profit is 200 pips at the first take-profit level and 250 pips at the second, with possible losses capped at 50 pips.

Trading plan

• Entry point: 209.75
• Target 1: 207.75
• Target 2: 207.25
• Stop-Loss: 210.25

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After reaching its all-time high, the US 500 has entered a downtrend. The US 500 forecast for today is positive.

US 500 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US initial jobless claims totalled 231 thousand last week
• Market impact: the data has a negative impact on the equity market

US 500 fundamental analysis

The release of US initial jobless claims (231 thousand versus a forecast of 212 thousand and 209 thousand the previous week) provides a moderately negative short-term signal for the US 500 index, as it points to a more noticeable cooling of the labour market than the consensus expectation. At the same time, it is important to consider the scale: the level of claims remains below crisis levels and closer to the historically normal range. Therefore, this does not look like a sign of a sharp economic deterioration, but rather a signal of a gradual slowdown.

For the US 500 index, the key factor in such conditions is typically the reaction of expectations regarding the Fed’s interest rate. If the market interprets the increase in claims as a factor reducing the likelihood of further monetary tightening, some of the negative impact on stocks may be offset through lower bond yields and improved valuations of companies’ future cash flows.

US 500 technical analysis

The US 500 index has formed a support level at 6,785.0 and a resistance level at 6,995.0. The index sees increased volatility: after the trend shifted to the downside, prices began to correct actively and approached the resistance level. At the same time, the potential downside target is located near 6,660.0.

The US 500 price forecast considers the following scenarios:

• Pessimistic US 500 forecast: a breakout below the 6,785.0 support level could send the index down to 6,660.0
• Optimistic US 500 forecast: a breakout above the 6,995.0 resistance level could boost the index to 7,085.0

Summary

For the US 500 index, these statistics suggest a likely increase in short-term volatility and greater sectoral differentiation in investor behaviour. Subsequent labour market and inflation releases will be decisive for further interpretation, as they should confirm or refute the sustainability of the identified momentum. From a technical perspective, the US 500 index may rise to 7,085.0.

Open Account

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Bullock said on Friday that the board lifted the Official Cash Rate (OCR) because the economy is more capacity constrained than previously judged, meaning policy needed to be tighter.