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Top 3 trade ideas for 20 May 2026

Posted on: May 21 2026

Trade ideas for EURUSD, AUDUSD, and GBPUSD are available today. The ideas expire on 21 May 2026 at 8:00 AM (GMT +3).

EURUSD trade idea

The medium-term trend in EURUSD remains bearish. However, the short-term RSI is rising, increasing the likelihood of a bullish correction. Under current conditions, a corrective price increase is expected, but the priority strategy remains selling on rallies. The key resistance level is located near 1.1635. The EURUSD trade idea for today suggests placing a pending Sell Limit order.

Market sentiment for EURUSD shows a bearish bias – 56% vs 44%. The risk-to-reward ratio is 1:6. The potential profit is 75 pips at the first take-profit target and 90 pips at the second, while potential losses are capped at 15 pips.

Trading plan

  • Entry point: 1.1650
  • Target: 1.1575
  • Target 2: 1.1560
  • Stop-loss: 1.1635

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AUDUSD trade idea

The medium-term trend in AUDUSD remains bearish, but opening short positions at current levels appears suboptimal in terms of the risk-to-reward ratio. In the short term, the RSI is rising, increasing the likelihood of a temporary upward move within a correction. In these conditions, the preferred scenario remains selling on rallies, especially near the key resistance level at 0.7140. The AUDUSD trade idea for today suggests placing a pending Sell Limit order.

The news background for AUDUSD shows balanced market expectations – 50% vs 50%. The risk-to-reward ratio is 1:5. The potential profit is 60 pips at the first take-profit target and 75 pips at the second, with potential losses limited to 15 pips.

Trading plan

  • Entry point: 0.7140
  • Target 1: 0.7080
  • Target 2: 0.7065
  • Stop-loss: 0.7155

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GBPUSD trade idea

The GBPUSD currency pair maintains bullish momentum. However, current levels do not look attractive for opening long positions, as the risk-to-reward ratio remains low. In the short term, RSI values are declining, signalling a possible bearish correction or weakening upward momentum. The key support level is located at 1.3390, where buying pressure may intensify. Under these conditions, the preferred strategy remains buying on pullbacks near the key support level. The GBPUSD trade idea for today suggests placing a pending Buy Limit order.

For GBPUSD, bullish expectations prevail – 45% vs 55%. The risk-to-reward ratio is 1:5. The potential profit is 60 pips at the first take-profit target and 75 pips at the second, with potential losses capped at 15 pips.

Trading plan

  • Entry point: 1.3390
  • Target: 1.3256
  • Target 2: 1.3160
  • Stop-loss: 1.3437

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Editors’ picks

EURUSD 2026-2027 forecast: key market trends and future predictions

This article provides the EURUSD forecast for 2026 and 2027 and highlights the main factors determining the direction of the pair’s movements. We will apply technical analysis, take into account the opinions of leading experts, large banks, and financial institutions, and study AI-based forecasts. This comprehensive insight into EURUSD predictions should help investors and traders make informed decisions.

Gold (XAUUSD) forecast 2026 and beyond: expert insights, price predictions, and analysis

Dive deep into the Gold (XAUUSD) price outlook for 2026 and beyond, combining technical analysis, expert forecasts, and key macroeconomic factors. It explains the drivers behind gold’s recent surge, explores potential scenarios including a move toward 4,500 to 5,000 USD per ounce, and highlights why the metal remains a strong hedge during global uncertainty.

US 500 forecast: the index is falling amid another escalation of the conflict in the Middle East

Posted on: May 06 2026

After reaching a new all-time high, the US 500 index has started to decline, but the broader trend remains bullish. The US 500 forecast for today is positive.

US 500 forecast: key takeaways

  • Recent data: the US Federal Reserve kept the policy rate at 3.75% per annum
  • Market impact: the data is neutral for the stock market

US 500 fundamental analysis

The Federal Reserve’s decision to keep the interest rate at 3.75% is largely neutral for the US 500, since the outcome fully matched both the forecast and the previous level. For the market, this means there was no surprise tightening in monetary policy, so the headline decision itself should not create strong additional downside pressure on the index. Investors are likely to interpret it as a signal of a cautious Fed stance: the regulator is not ready to cut rates yet, but also sees no need to raise them further.

For the US 500, this setup can be mildly supportive if market participants conclude that the rate hike cycle has ended and that gradual easing may become possible later. A stable rate reduces uncertainty for companies and investors, which can help sustain demand for equities, especially if inflation continues to cool and the US economy remains resilient. However, upside potential may be limited, as the rate is still relatively high, keeping pressure on borrowing costs, consumer activity, and corporate spending.

US Fed funds interest rate: https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/interest-rate

US 500 technical analysis

The US 500 maintains its upward momentum, although a correction is currently underway. The resistance level has formed near 7,280.0, with the key support level at 7,110.0. If the advance resumes, the next upside target could be 7,400.0.

The US 500 price forecast considers the following scenarios:

  • Pessimistic US 500 forecast: a breakout below the 7,110.0 support level could send the index down to 7,005.0
  • Optimistic US 500 forecast: a breakout above the 7,280.0 resistance level could drive the index up to 7,400.0
US 500 technical analysis for 5 May 2026

Summary

Overall, the Federal Reserve decision appears neutral with a moderately positive tilt. The lack of a rate hike reduces the risk of a sharp deterioration in market sentiment, but the absence of a cut limits the potential for a strong upside move. The most likely reaction in US equities is a restrained move with heightened attention to subsequent Fed statements. If investors see clearer signs of future rate cuts, the US 500 could receive additional support. From a technical perspective, the US 500 could rise towards 7,400.0.

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Editors’ picks

EURUSD 2026-2027 forecast: key market trends and future predictions

This article provides the EURUSD forecast for 2026 and 2027 and highlights the main factors determining the direction of the pair’s movements. We will apply technical analysis, take into account the opinions of leading experts, large banks, and financial institutions, and study AI-based forecasts. This comprehensive insight into EURUSD predictions should help investors and traders make informed decisions.

Gold (XAUUSD) forecast 2026 and beyond: expert insights, price predictions, and analysis

Dive deep into the Gold (XAUUSD) price outlook for 2026 and beyond, combining technical analysis, expert forecasts, and key macroeconomic factors. It explains the drivers behind gold’s recent surge, explores potential scenarios including a move toward 4,500 to 5,000 USD per ounce, and highlights why the metal remains a strong hedge during global uncertainty.

Alphabet after earnings: how a covered call can help investors manage a strong rally

Posted on: May 01 2026

Alphabet’s post-earnings rally has left many long-term investors wondering whether to hold or take a more structured approach. This example shows how a covered call can generate around 1% premium income over a month while setting a clear potential selling price, but also highlights the trade-off of capped upside if the rally continues.

Alphabet after earnings: how a covered call can help investors manage a strong rally

Key takeaways

Alphabet shares have rallied sharply after earnings, leaving some long-term shareholders with a familiar question: should they simply keep holding, take some profit, or use a more structured approach?

For investors who already own at least 100 Alphabet Class A shares, a covered call can be one way to set a disciplined potential selling price while receiving option premium upfront.

In this example, the investor sells the 29 May 2026 USD 405 call for around USD 3.90 per share. That creates about USD 390 in premium before costs, but it also caps upside above the USD 405 strike price.

A covered call should only be considered by investors who are genuinely comfortable selling their shares at the chosen strike price if the option is exercised.

Alphabet shares have moved sharply higher after earnings, trading well above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages shown in the chart. Source: SaxoTrader

Alphabet has rallied. What now?

Alphabet’s latest earnings update was followed by a strong move in the share price. In the screenshot, GOOGL is trading around USD 376–378 after the rally. The chart also shows the share price well above its short- and long-term moving averages, which underlines how far the move has stretched in a relatively short period.

For a long-term investor, this does not automatically mean the stock has gone too far. A strong company can keep rising. But after a sharp rally, it is reasonable to ask whether the next step should be passive holding or a more deliberate plan.

That is where a covered call can come in.

What is a covered call?

A covered call is an options strategy for investors who already own the underlying shares. In this case, the investor owns 100 Alphabet shares and sells 1 call option against those shares.

A call option gives the buyer the right to buy shares at a fixed price, called the strike price, before or at expiry. When you sell that call, you receive premium upfront. In return, you accept the obligation to sell your shares at the strike price if the option is exercised.

The word “covered” matters. It means the investor already owns the shares that may need to be delivered. This is different from selling a call without owning the shares, which carries far greater risk and is not the focus here.

The Alphabet example

In the option chain, the highlighted example is the 29 May 2026 USD 405 call. The order ticket shows a sale price around USD 3.90 per share.

Since a standard US equity option contract normally represents 100 shares, selling 1 call at USD 3.90 would generate about USD 390 in premium before commissions, fees, and taxes. Important note: The strategies and examples provided in this article are purely for educational purposes. They are intended to assist in shaping your thought process and should not be replicated or implemented without careful consideration. Every investor or trader must conduct their own due diligence and take into account their unique financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any decisions. Remember, investing in the stock market carries risk, and it’s crucial to make informed decisions.

The key numbers are:

  • Current GOOGL share price shown: around USD 376.47
  • Call option sold: 29 May 2026 USD 405 call
  • Option premium received: around USD 3.90 per share
  • Total premium: around USD 390 per 100-share contract
  • Strike price: USD 405
  • Expiry: 29 May 2026

This means the investor is not selling Alphabet immediately. Instead, they are saying: “If Alphabet rises above USD 405 by expiry, I am comfortable selling my 100 shares at USD 405.”

The example uses the 29 May 2026 USD 405 call, which is above the share price shown in the screenshot. Source: SaxoTrader

What the premium means in plain numbers

If GOOGL is around USD 376.47 and the investor sells the USD 405 call for USD 3.90, the covered call creates 2 sources of potential return if the shares are called away.

First, the investor receives USD 390 in premium. Second, the shares could rise from USD 376.47 to the USD 405 strike price before being sold.

The simple calculation looks like this:

  • Premium received: USD 390
  • Share upside to strike: USD 28.53 × 100 = USD 2,853
  • Total potential gain before costs if assigned at USD 405: about USD 3,243
  • Effective sale level including premium: USD 408.90

There is also a useful income-style way to look at the premium. If the call expires worthless, the investor keeps the 100 shares and the USD 390 premium. Based on a share price of USD 376.47, the 100-share position is worth about USD 37,647. The USD 390 premium equals about 1.0% of that share value before costs.

That 1.0% is not a guaranteed total return. It is the option premium received if the call expires worthless. If Alphabet falls, the investor still owns the shares and can lose much more on the stock than the premium received.

What can happen by expiry?

The easiest way to understand a covered call is to look at scenarios.

Alphabet at expiry What happens Result for the investor
Below USD 405 The call will likely expire worthless The investor keeps the shares and the USD 390 premium
Around USD 405 Assignment risk increases The investor may keep the shares or may be assigned, depending on the final price and exercise
Above USD 405 The shares are likely to be called away The investor sells 100 shares at USD 405 and keeps the USD 390 premium
Far above USD 405 Upside is capped The investor misses gains above USD 405, apart from the premium received

This is the central trade-off. The investor receives premium today, but gives up some future upside if Alphabet keeps rallying strongly.

Why use this strategy?

For a buy-and-hold investor, a covered call can serve 3 practical purposes.

First, it can generate additional income from shares already held in the portfolio. In this example, the premium is about USD 390 before costs.

Second, it can create a disciplined exit level. If the investor would be happy to reduce or sell the Alphabet position at USD 405, the covered call turns that decision into a structured plan.

Third, it can add a small cushion if the share price weakens. The USD 3.90 premium reduces the effective cost of the position by that amount per share, but only slightly. It does not protect the investor from a large fall in Alphabet’s share price.

What are the risks?

The main risk is not hidden complexity. It is misunderstanding the trade-off.

If Alphabet trades above USD 405 near expiry, the investor should be prepared for the shares to be sold at USD 405. That may feel fine when entering the trade, but it can feel less comfortable if the share price later trades at USD 430 or USD 450.

The second risk is downside exposure. A covered call does not protect the share position in the way a put option would. If Alphabet falls sharply, the investor still owns 100 shares, and the USD 390 premium only offsets a small part of that loss.

The third risk is execution. The option chain shows a bid-ask spread, meaning there is a difference between what buyers are willing to pay and what sellers are asking. Using a limit order can help investors avoid accepting a poor price, but live prices can change quickly.

The order ticket shows the sale of 1 Alphabet USD 405 call expiring 29 May 2026, with an example premium around USD 390 before costs. Source: SaxoTrader

A note on the order ticket risk graph

The order ticket shows the short call as a single option leg. That is why the ticket may display risk in a way that looks alarming when viewed on its own.

For a covered call investor, the option should be viewed together with the 100 shares already owned. The investor’s downside risk mainly comes from the share position falling. The investor’s upside is capped because the shares may need to be sold at USD 405.

This distinction matters. A covered call is not risk-free, but it is also not the same as selling an uncovered call.

Final takeaway

A covered call can be a practical strategy for an Alphabet shareholder after a strong earnings rally, but only when the investor is clear about the trade-off.

In this example, selling the 29 May 2026 USD 405 call could generate about USD 390 in premium before costs. If the call expires worthless, that is around 1.0% of the share value shown in the example. If Alphabet rises above USD 405, the investor may have to sell the shares at that price and give up further upside.

The key question is simple: would you be comfortable selling 100 Alphabet shares at USD 405 by 29 May 2026?

If the answer is yes, the covered call may be worth studying. If the answer is no, the premium is probably not enough compensation for giving up the upside.

This content is marketing material and should not be regarded as investment advice. Trading financial instruments carries risks and historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The Author is permitted to wait at least 24 hours from the time of the publication before they trade the instruments themselves. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. This content will not be changed or subject to review after publication.
Educational Resources
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  • Guide on long-term options for strategic portfolio management
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  • Assignment explained - 01 - what every options trader and investor should know
  • Assignment explained - 02 - how to avoid assignment
  • Assignment explained - 03 - how to use option assignment to your advantage
  • Assignment explained - 04 - option assignment cheat sheet
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